Vishnu Chemicals: Quality Stock, But Low Prospects

Briefing The stock of Vishnu Chemicals has gained at an annual rate of 80 per cent over the last five years – from ₹22 per share in July 2019 to ₹418 per share now. Meanwhile, its net worth grew at an annual rate of 29 per cent*. After remaining unchanged during the five years of … Continue reading Vishnu Chemicals: Quality Stock, But Low Prospects

Distortions and Imbalances: The Insidious Nature of Low Interest Rates

The low rates prevailed from 2008 until 2022 were a result of central bank interventions in response to the financial crisis. However, these interventions deviated from the prudent path, fostering economic distortions and financial imbalances. Modern central bankers' adherence to price stability and inflation targeting, driven by a flawed understanding of history, has contributed to these issues. The repercussions of this flawed monetary policy are soon to be felt as the economy transitions to a more normal monetary condition. This transition is expected to bring about necessary corrections, albeit painful in the short term, and lead to positive long-term consequences.

Asset Bubbles: How to Recognize One?

Recognizing Asset Bubbles – preferably before they burst – from Economic Behavioural Changes They Breed. Asset bubbles are formed by the rapid rise in asset prices, far outrunning the asset's fundamentals. Sudden wealth gained through such rapid rise in asset prices initiates marked changes in the economic behaviour of its acquirer: those who were active … Continue reading Asset Bubbles: How to Recognize One?

Significance of Interpreting Market Price Action

For successful investing… the market price movement should be given the most consideration… often greater than fundamentals and valuation… The phrase ‘market prices reflect everything’ means that, at any moment, a stock’s price reflects all information concerning its business prospect – and every price change then on reflects a change in those prospects. However, this … Continue reading Significance of Interpreting Market Price Action

Tapping Collective Intelligence

Informed decisions don't always lead to good outcomes. Tap into collective intelligence to improve the quality of your investment decisions. The core skill of an equity analyst is the ability to analyse and value a stock to determine its investment prospects. However, making judgments based on insights gained through the analysis and valuation, and the … Continue reading Tapping Collective Intelligence

Choosing the Right Investment Advisor

Choosing the Right Investment Advisor and Building a Purposeful Relationship involves evaluating his expertise and trustworthiness Investing in the stock market, and profiting from that endeavour sustainably, requires an investor to understand an individual stock’s business fundamentals, its growth prospects, and the general market trend. He then needs to estimate an intrinsic value for the … Continue reading Choosing the Right Investment Advisor

A Sceptical Perspective

Navigating Uncertainty: The Outlook for Indian Equities in 2024 India Outlook 2023 was a great year for the Indian stock market. All key market indices are at their all-time highs now. Nifty 50 is up 20 per cent for the year. The midcaps and small caps outperformed with gains of 46 per cent and 55 … Continue reading A Sceptical Perspective