Stock returns are expected to trail earnings growth over the next decade. The economic environment during the forty years from the early 1980s until 2022 was characterised by low inflation and declining interest rates. From the high teens in 1980, interest rates in developed countries declined for nearly 28 years. They reached near zero in … Continue reading The Inevitable Moderation
Category: Equity research
Analysis Initiate – November 2024
Exploring the Investment Opportunities of 'Indian Toners and Developers', 'Parnax Lab', and 'Emmbi Industries'.
Review – L G Balakrishnan & Bros., Control Print, Pakka
Reviewing the Investment Prospects of LG Balakrishnan & Bros., Control Print, and Pakka Post their September 2024 quarter results.
Review – Kovai Medical Center, Natural Capsules, Dynemic Products
Reviewing the Investment Prospects of Kovai Medical Center, Natural Capsules, and Dynemic Products post their September 2024 quarter results
Turning Wood into Money
The wood-panel sector has seen strong stock performances but currently faces elevated valuations limiting returns. Century Plyboard and Stylam Industries led with high returns, while Rushil Décor’s low valuation appears misjudged. Greenlam Industries exhibit mediocre fundamentals despite some strengths. Overall, caution is advised due to high current stock prices.
A Prescient Warning
Over the past 25 years, fluctuations in interest rates have foreshadowed major economic crises, with recent patterns showing a similar trajectory since 2022. Historical parallels suggest that the September 2024 rate cut may initiate another crisis, indicating an inevitable decline in stock prices and economic downturn despite market optimism and positive sentiments.
Paper Stocks aren’t Boring (anymore)
A Few Companies with Differentiated Business Models led by Innovative and Enterprising Management offer Good Investment Opportunities.
Subjected to Ambiguity
Reviewing the Investment Prospects of Associated Alcohols and Dynemic Products. Conditions become favourable for sustainable earnings growth when a firm with a strong competitive position through productive capital allocation achieves superior operating profitability.
Another Futile Quest
Prospecting for New Opportunities Among Five Stocks. There is no point in being invested in an idea one is not excited about. We are in a stock market boom, all stocks are rising, so the recent better performance of a stock might be reflecting the general euphoria and thus have nothing to do with its fundamentals.
L G Balakrishnan & Bros: There is Still Value in the Stock
We decided to buy the stock of L G Balakrishnan & Bros (LGBB) when we first discussed the stock in April 2023. Its market price then - ₹745 per share - was at a significant discount to our estimated fair value of ₹1,257 per share. When we reviewed the stock again almost one year later, … Continue reading L G Balakrishnan & Bros: There is Still Value in the Stock









