How to Beat the Market

Identify High-Risk Stocks That Are More Likely to Get Re-Rated, and for that, Focus on Core Fundamentals. “In the short run, the market is a voting machine. In the long run, it is a weighing machine.” Benjamin Graham “Beating the Market”: earning an investment return greater than the return of benchmark indices such as Sensex, … Continue reading How to Beat the Market

Asset Bubbles: How to Recognize One?

Recognizing Asset Bubbles – preferably before they burst – from Economic Behavioural Changes They Breed. Asset bubbles are formed by the rapid rise in asset prices, far outrunning the asset's fundamentals. Sudden wealth gained through such rapid rise in asset prices initiates marked changes in the economic behaviour of its acquirer: those who were active … Continue reading Asset Bubbles: How to Recognize One?

Significance of Interpreting Market Price Action

For successful investing… the market price movement should be given the most consideration… often greater than fundamentals and valuation… The phrase ‘market prices reflect everything’ means that, at any moment, a stock’s price reflects all information concerning its business prospect – and every price change then on reflects a change in those prospects. However, this … Continue reading Significance of Interpreting Market Price Action

Gold Prices: An Ominous Aura

Stubborn resistance to oxidation, unusual density, and ready malleability – these simple natural attributes explain all there is to the romance of gold. Peter L. Bernstein, The Power of Gold: The History of an Obsession Gold Prices and Market Foreknowing Analysing the Implications of Recent Gold Price Spikes and What They Could Mean for Investors. … Continue reading Gold Prices: An Ominous Aura

The Crossover: When Manias Peak and Distress Follow

An understanding of how manias develop and later devolve into panics helps navigate them with minimal damage. Financial Manias occur when the initial optimism among investors and firms produced by an external event, which promised significant productivity gains and large profit opportunities, escalates into euphoria and widespread speculation. The escalation is propelled by the optimistic … Continue reading The Crossover: When Manias Peak and Distress Follow

Financial Manias and Panics: A Short Primer

Human fallibility is the principal reason behind all major financial manias, panics, and crashes. Greed dominates a person’s psyche; he speculates on borrowed money for quick, speculative gains. A market is in a mania stage when the behaviour of most of the investors can be categorized as ‘irrational’. Greed and euphoria are the dominant sentiments … Continue reading Financial Manias and Panics: A Short Primer

Analysis: Q3FY24 Results – I

This post discusses the financial performance of three stocks – Control Print, SRG Housing, and CSB Bank - for the quarter ended 31 Dec. 2023 and our perspective on the respective stocks’ investment prospects considering these results. Control Print Control Print reported its Q3FY24 results on Jan. 22, 2024. Sales and operating profit were up … Continue reading Analysis: Q3FY24 Results – I

Tapping Collective Intelligence

Informed decisions don't always lead to good outcomes. Tap into collective intelligence to improve the quality of your investment decisions. The core skill of an equity analyst is the ability to analyse and value a stock to determine its investment prospects. However, making judgments based on insights gained through the analysis and valuation, and the … Continue reading Tapping Collective Intelligence

Choosing the Right Investment Advisor

Choosing the Right Investment Advisor and Building a Purposeful Relationship involves evaluating his expertise and trustworthiness Investing in the stock market, and profiting from that endeavour sustainably, requires an investor to understand an individual stock’s business fundamentals, its growth prospects, and the general market trend. He then needs to estimate an intrinsic value for the … Continue reading Choosing the Right Investment Advisor

RACL Geartech’s Dream Run in the Stock Market

Evaluating the Investment Potential of RACL Geartech RACL Geartech would be one of the best investment decisions I have ever made, but one of my worst investment decisions too. I first purchased the stock at ₹67 per share in September 2018, which I consider one of my best investment decisions. But almost a year later, … Continue reading RACL Geartech’s Dream Run in the Stock Market