The Inevitable Moderation

Stock returns are expected to trail earnings growth over the next decade. The economic environment during the forty years from the early 1980s until 2022 was characterised by low inflation and declining interest rates. From the high teens in 1980, interest rates in developed countries declined for nearly 28 years. They reached near zero in … Continue reading The Inevitable Moderation

Market Narratives Drive Stock Prices

Investor beliefs significantly influence market narratives and ultimately stock prices. Unexpected events trigger major price movements; however, these shifts often stem from prevailing beliefs rather than reality. A successful investor must understand these narratives and maintain a belief system aligned with market realities, allowing for agility amid changing conditions.

Turning Wood into Money

The wood-panel sector has seen strong stock performances but currently faces elevated valuations limiting returns. Century Plyboard and Stylam Industries led with high returns, while Rushil Décor’s low valuation appears misjudged. Greenlam Industries exhibit mediocre fundamentals despite some strengths. Overall, caution is advised due to high current stock prices.

L G Balakrishnan & Bros: There is Still Value in the Stock

We decided to buy the stock of L G Balakrishnan & Bros (LGBB) when we first discussed the stock in April 2023. Its market price then - ₹745 per share - was at a significant discount to our estimated fair value of ₹1,257 per share. When we reviewed the stock again almost one year later, … Continue reading L G Balakrishnan & Bros: There is Still Value in the Stock