The content explores how our dual thinking systems—fast, intuitive (System 1) and slow, rational (System 2)—influence investment decisions. It highlights the tendency to favour quick, effortless judgments made by System 1, often at the expense of accuracy, especially in high-stakes situations. Intentional engagement of System 2 is necessary for better decision-making.
Category: Equity research
Analysis – Shivalik Rasayan
Shivalik Rasayan is a manufacturer of agrochemicals and APIs; it has a production capacity of 21,550 MT; and claims to be the largest producer of Dimethoate Technical and the second largest producer of Malathion in India. Its manufacturing facilities are located at Dehradun, Uttarakhand and Dahej, Gujarat; it has a dedicated R&D centre at Bhiwadi, … Continue reading Analysis – Shivalik Rasayan
The Inevitable Moderation
Stock returns are expected to trail earnings growth over the next decade. The economic environment during the forty years from the early 1980s until 2022 was characterised by low inflation and declining interest rates. From the high teens in 1980, interest rates in developed countries declined for nearly 28 years. They reached near zero in … Continue reading The Inevitable Moderation
Analysis Initiate – November 2024
Exploring the Investment Opportunities of 'Indian Toners and Developers', 'Parnax Lab', and 'Emmbi Industries'.
Review – L G Balakrishnan & Bros., Control Print, Pakka
Reviewing the Investment Prospects of LG Balakrishnan & Bros., Control Print, and Pakka Post their September 2024 quarter results.
Review – Kovai Medical Center, Natural Capsules, Dynemic Products
Reviewing the Investment Prospects of Kovai Medical Center, Natural Capsules, and Dynemic Products post their September 2024 quarter results
Turning Wood into Money
The wood-panel sector has seen strong stock performances but currently faces elevated valuations limiting returns. Century Plyboard and Stylam Industries led with high returns, while Rushil Décor’s low valuation appears misjudged. Greenlam Industries exhibit mediocre fundamentals despite some strengths. Overall, caution is advised due to high current stock prices.
A Prescient Warning
Over the past 25 years, fluctuations in interest rates have foreshadowed major economic crises, with recent patterns showing a similar trajectory since 2022. Historical parallels suggest that the September 2024 rate cut may initiate another crisis, indicating an inevitable decline in stock prices and economic downturn despite market optimism and positive sentiments.
Paper Stocks aren’t Boring (anymore)
A Few Companies with Differentiated Business Models led by Innovative and Enterprising Management offer Good Investment Opportunities.
Subjected to Ambiguity
Reviewing the Investment Prospects of Associated Alcohols and Dynemic Products. Conditions become favourable for sustainable earnings growth when a firm with a strong competitive position through productive capital allocation achieves superior operating profitability.









